The Film Crew S 2017 Oscar Predictions

The /Film Crew’s 2017 Oscar Predictions

By Jacob Hall/Feb. 24, 2017 9:00 am EST

Predicting the Oscars is an art. You can’t look at the nominees and pick personal favorites. You can’t side with the movies that you think deserve to win. You have to look over those 27 categories and put yourself in the shoes of 6,000 voting members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Science and think “What are they going to vote for?”

So welcome to the second annual /Film Oscar Predictions Contest, where we put our heads together to predict the winners of the biggest movie awards show of the year. Feel free to play along. You may remember last year’s contest, where Ethan Anderton didn’t just win – he obliterated everyone else. This year, he faces stiff competition: Peter Sciretta, Angie Han, Jacob Hall, David Chen, Jack Giroux, Devindra Hardawar, and Christopher Stipp submitted predictions this time. Some of the crew did careful homework. Others knocked out their predictions in five minutes. The winner gets bragging rights for the next year. Here’s how it works. Each writer had 100 points per category and could split them up as they saw fit. This means a writer could put all 100 points on a single film in that category or split them up amongst several nominees to hedge their bet. If they have any points on a film that wins its category, they get those points. Simple enough, right? Whoever has the most points when the ceremony is over, wins.

But first, we have combined everyone’s numbers into one master list that reflects the site’s overall predictions. Let’s take a look at who /Film thinks will walk home with Oscar gold on Sunday.

BEST PICTURE Arrival – 50 points Fences - 0 points Hacksaw Ridge - 0 points Hell or High Water - 0 points Hidden Figures - 10 points La La Land – 550 points Lion - 0 points Manchester by the Sea - 10 points Moonlight - 180 points With a record-tying 14 nominations, La La Land is not only the favorite to win Best Picture, it’s the favorite to win…well, just about everything. However, our staff thinks that if anyone can upset the frontrunners, it’s Moonlight.

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - 620 points Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge - 0 points Ryan Gosling, La La Land - 120 points Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic - 0 points Denzel Washington, Fences - 60 points Casey Affleck has dominated the awards season so far and our numbers reflect that accordingly. Ryan Gosling may get caught up in the La La Land train and Oscar voters sure love Denzel Washington, but this is Affleck’s to lose.

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle – 80 points

Ruth Negga, Loving - 20 points Natalie Portman, Jackie - 0 points Emma Stone, La La Land - 700 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins - 0 points If one of La La Land’s two leads is going home with a trophy on Sunday, it’s going to be Emma Stone. It’s possible to imagine an Isabelle Huppert upset, but come on.

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 720 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water - 35 points Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea - 0 points Dev Patel, Lion - 45 points Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals - 0 points Out of our predictions, Mahershala Ali scored more points than anyone else. With the exception of the Golden Globes, Ali has scooped up nearly ever substantial supporting actor award over the past few months and Oscar voters will see this as an opportunity to honor Moonlight while giving everything else to La La Land.

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences - 620 points Naomie Harris, Moonlight - 70 points Nicole Kidman, Lion - 0 points Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures – 10 points Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea - 100 points This category has been Viola Davis’ to lose ever since Fences was first announced. The only thing standing in her way are voters who think that this is “category fraud” and that Davis actually belongs in the lead actress category. But no one can argue with her actual work onscreen.

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Kubo and the Two Strings – 20 points Moana - 270 points My Life as a Zucchini - 0 points The Red Turtle - 0 points Zootopia - 510 points The big question is which Disney animated film is going home with a shiny Oscar on Sunday? We’re giving the edge to Zootopia, but we left plenty of room for a Moana upset.

CINEMATOGRAPHY Arrival - 190 points La La Land - 510 points Lion - 0 points Moonlight - 100 points Silence - 0 points In terms of pure beauty and excellence, every nominated film here deserves recognition. And because of that, La La Land will probably win by default because it’s going to win everything else.

COSTUME DESIGN Allied - 90 points Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 85 points Florence Foster Jenkins - 15 points Jackie - 360 points La La Land – 160 points What’s this? A category where La La Land isn’t going to win? Oscar voters tend to favorite historical films in this category and the stylish, period-appropriate clothing in Jackie really is a wonder to behold.

DIRECTING Arrival - 50 points Hacksaw Ridge - 0 points La La Land - 660 points Manchester by the Sea - 0 points Moonlight – 90 points Get ready for your close-up, Damien Chazelle. Anyone else taking is over La La Land will be the upset of the night.

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE) Fire at Sea - 0 points I Am Not Your Negro – 45 points Life, Animated - 50 points O.J.: Made in America - 650 points 13th – 45 points Last year, film critics and fans argued over whether or not the seven-hour epic O.J.: Made in America was a film or a television show. Now, it’s /Film’s favorite to win an Academy Award. Whoa.

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT) Extremis - 250 points 4.1 Miles - 30 points Joe’s Violin - 240 points Watani: My Homeland - 20 points The White Helmets - 260 points Here’s the secret about predicting the short film categories at the Academy Awards: no one knows anything. There’s no hard favorite here and anyone claiming to know for sure is crazy.

FILM EDITING Arrival - 60 points Hacksaw Ridge - 0 points Hell or High Water - 0 points La La Land - 570 points Moonlight - 170 points Film Editing is a category that often ends up going to Best Picture winners by default. For that reason, this one will probably end up as yet another La La Land win.

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Land of Mine - 45 points A Man Called Ove - 60 points The Salesman - 295 points Tanna - 20 points Toni Erdmann - 380 points This is another unpredictable category, but the critically lauded Toni Erdmann squeaked ahead in our predictions. However, the politics surrounding The Salesman (and the fact that it’s also a critical favorite) make it a close runner-up.

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING A Man Called Ove - 233 points Star Trek Beyond - 413 points Suicide Squad – 154 points This is one of the year’s weirdest categories. Because it’s impossible to imagine Suicide Squad winning an Oscar and because A Man Called Ove is one of the least-seen nominees, Star Trek Beyond’s exceptional alien make-up designs should win the day.

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) Jackie - 0 points La La Land - 690 points Lion - 0 points Moonlight - 110 points Passengers - 0 points La La Land, being a movie completely driven by music in nearly every scene, has this one locked down. It’s just unfair at this point.

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 200 points “Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls - 0 points “City Of Stars” from La La Land - 490 points “The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story - 0 points “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana – 110 points This is another category that should go to La La Land and we give the edge of “City of Stars” over “Audition (The Fools Who Dream).” However, don’t count out “How Far I’ll Go,” because Disney has a strong track record with this category and who can resist the thought of Lin-Manuel Miranda EGOT-ing?

PRODUCTION DESIGN Arrival - 0 points Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 150 points Hail, Caesar! - 100 points La La Land - 450 points Passengers - 80 points Are you getting tired of La La Land yet? Here’s another one for the trophy pile.

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) Blind Vaysha - 40 points Borrowed Time - 120 points Pear Cider and Cigarettes - 140 points Pearl - 40 points Piper - 460 points Pixar may have been snubbed in the Best Animated Feature category, but their adorable Piper is the obvious frontrunner here.

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs - 200 points La Femme et le TGV - 70 points Silent Nights - 210 points Sing - 80 points Timecode - 170 points Once again: you guess is as good as ours.

SOUND EDITING Arrival - 135 points Deepwater Horizon - 40 points Hacksaw Ridge - 320 points La La Land - 275 points Sully - 0 points This could be another La La Land victory, but war movies have a strong track record in this category. And hey, would you look at that: Hacksaw Ridge is here and it’s not going to win anything else.

SOUND MIXING Arrival - 90 points Hacksaw Ridge - 100 points La La Land - 430 points Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 110 points 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi - 70 points

Sound Mixing tends to be trickier to predict than Sound Editing so…La La Land?

VISUAL EFFECTS Deepwater Horizon - 0 points Doctor Strange - 80 points The Jungle Book - 500 points Kubo and the Two Strings - 0 points Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 220 points This is an impressive line-up, but expect the photo-realistic animals and environments of The Jungle Book to win over the most voters.

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) Arrival - 250 points Fences - 0 points Hidden Figures - 10 points Lion - 0 points Moonlight - 540 points Moonlight’s got to win something else, right? Since this is the rare category where it’s not going head-to-head with La La Land, this could be another moment for it to shine.

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) Hell or High Water - 25 points La La Land - 365 points The Lobster - 20 points Manchester by the Sea - 350 points 20th Century Women – 10 points There are two scenarios here. Either the La La Land wave is completely unstoppable and it takes this one as well…or it breaks in a few key places. If it’s the latter, expect this one to go to Manchester by the Sea. The 89th Annual Academy Awards will air this Sunday. We’ll be covering the big show live, but come back Monday morning to see which /Film writer has won bragging rights for the next 12 months. You can find all of our individual ballots on the next page.

Ethan Anderton’s Predictions

BEST PICTURE Arrival Fences Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water Hidden Figures – 10 points La La Land - 70 points Lion Manchester by the Sea Moonlight – 20 points ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - 80 points

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences – 20 points ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle – 30 points Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land – 70 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 70 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water – 10 points Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion - 20 points Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences – 100 points Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Kubo and the Two Strings – 20 points Moana My Life as a Zucchini The Red Turtle Zootopia – 80 points CINEMATOGRAPHY Arrival La La Land – 100 points Lion Moonlight Silence COSTUME DESIGN Allied Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Florence Foster Jenkins Jackie - 50 points La La Land – 50 points DIRECTING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 80 points Manchester by the Sea Moonlight – 20 points DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE) Fire at Sea I Am Not Your Negro Life, Animated O.J.: Made in America - 80 points 13th – 20 points DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT) Extremis – 80 points 4.1 Miles Joe’s Violin - 20 points Watani: My Homeland The White Helmets FILM EDITING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water La La Land - 100 points Moonlight FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Land of Mine A Man Called Ove The Salesman - 50 points Tanna Toni Erdmann - 50 points MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING A Man Called Ove Star Trek Beyond - 100 points Suicide Squad MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) Jackie La La Land - 100 points Lion Moonlight Passengers MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 20 points “Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls “City Of Stars” from La La Land - 60 points

“The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana - 20 points PRODUCTION DESIGN Arrival Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Hail, Caesar! La La Land - 100 points Passengers SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) Blind Vaysha Borrowed Time Pear Cider and Cigarettes Pearl Piper – 100 points SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs - 80 points La Femme et le TGV Silent Nights Sing Timecode – 20 points SOUND EDITING Arrival Deepwater Horizon Hacksaw Ridge - 80 points La La Land - 20 points Sully SOUND MIXING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 100 points Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi VISUAL EFFECTS Deepwater Horizon Doctor Strange The Jungle Book - 100 points Kubo and the Two Strings Rogue One: A Star Wars Story WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) Arrival - 20 points Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight - 80 points WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) Hell or High Water La La Land - 50 points The Lobster Manchester by the Sea - 50 points 20th Century Women

David Chen’s Predictions

BEST PICTURE Arrival Fences Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water Hidden Figures La La Land - 50 points Lion Manchester by the Sea Moonlight – 50 points ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – 80 points

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land - 20 points Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle Ruth Negga, Loving - 20 points Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land - 80 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 100 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences - 20 points Naomie Harris, Moonlight - 70 points Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures - 10 points Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Kubo and the Two Strings Moana – 20 points My Life as a Zucchini The Red Turtle Zootopia – 80 points CINEMATOGRAPHY Arrival La La Land - 80 points Lion Moonlight - 20 points Silence COSTUME DESIGN Allied - 10 points Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 25 points Florence Foster Jenkins - 15 points Jackie - 50 points La La Land DIRECTING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 80 points Manchester by the Sea Moonlight - 20 points DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE) Fire at Sea I Am Not Your Negro - 20 points Life, Animated O.J.: Made in America - 70 points 13th – 10 points DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT) Extremis 4.1 Miles – 10 points Joe’s Violin Watani: My Homeland The White Helmets – 90 points FILM EDITING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water La La Land - 80 points Moonlight - 20 points FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Land of Mine A Man Called Ove The Salesman – 100 points Tanna Toni Erdmann MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING A Man Called Ove - 33 points Star Trek Beyond - 33 points Suicide Squad – 34 points MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) Jackie La La Land - 80 points Lion Moonlight - 20 points Passengers MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 70 points

“Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls “City Of Stars” from La La Land – 20 points “The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana – 10 points PRODUCTION DESIGN Arrival Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 10 points Hail, Caesar! La La Land - 90 points Passengers SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) Blind Vaysha Borrowed Time Pear Cider and Cigarettes Pearl Piper – 100 points SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs La Femme et le TGV - 30 points Silent Nights - 20 points Sing – 20 points Timecode – 30 points SOUND EDITING Arrival Deepwater Horizon - 20 points Hacksaw Ridge - 30 points La La Land - 50 points Sully SOUND MIXING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge - 40 points La La Land - 50 points Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 10 points 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi VISUAL EFFECTS Deepwater Horizon Doctor Strange - 80 points The Jungle Book Kubo and the Two Strings Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 20 points WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) Arrival Fences Hidden Figures - 10 points Lion Moonlight – 90 points WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) Hell or High Water La La Land – 20 points The Lobster - 20 points Manchester by the Sea - 50 points

20th Century Women - 10 points

Jack Giroux’s Predictions

BEST PICTURE Arrival Fences Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water Hidden Figures La La Land - 30 points Lion Manchester by the Sea - 10 points Moonlight - 60 points ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - 50 points

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land - 50 points Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land - 100 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 100 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences - 100 points Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Kubo and the Two Strings Moana My Life as a Zucchini The Red Turtle Zootopia - 100 points CINEMATOGRAPHY Arrival La La Land - 100 points Lion Moonlight Silence COSTUME DESIGN Allied - 80 points Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Florence Foster Jenkins Jackie La La Land - 20 points DIRECTING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 100 points Manchester by the Sea Moonlight DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE) Fire at Sea I Am Not Your Negro Life, Animated O.J.: Made in America - 100 points 13th DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT) Extremis - 20 points 4.1 Miles - 20 points Joe’s Violin - 20 points Watani: My Homeland - 20 points The White Helmets - 20 points FILM EDITING Arrival - 20 points Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water La La Land - 50 points Moonlight -30 points FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Land of Mine - 25 points A Man Called Ove The Salesman - 25 points Tanna Toni Erdmann – 50 points MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING A Man Called Ove - 50 points Star Trek Beyond - 50 points Suicide Squad MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) Jackie La La Land - 100 points Lion Moonlight Passengers MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land “Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls “City Of Stars” from La La Land - 100 points

“The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana PRODUCTION DESIGN Arrival Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 70 points Hail, Caesar! - 30 points La La Land Passengers SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) Blind Vaysha - 20 points Borrowed Time - 20 points Pear Cider and Cigarettes - 20 points Pearl - 20 points Piper - 20 points SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs - 20 points La Femme et le TGV - 20 points Silent Nights - 20 points Sing - 20 points Timecode - 20 points SOUND EDITING Arrival - 60 points Deepwater Horizon - 20 points Hacksaw Ridge - 20 points La La Land Sully SOUND MIXING Arrival - 60 points Hacksaw Ridge - 20 points La La Land Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 20 points 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi VISUAL EFFECTS Deepwater Horizon Doctor Strange The Jungle Book - 100 points Kubo and the Two Strings Rogue One: A Star Wars Story WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) Arrival Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight - 100 points WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) Hell or High Water La La Land The Lobster Manchester by the Sea - 100 points 20th Century Women

Jacob Hall’s Predictions

BEST PICTURE Arrival Fences Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water Hidden Figures La La Land - 100 points Lion Manchester by the Sea Moonlight ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - 100 points

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land - 100 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 100 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences - 100 points Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana My Life as a Zucchini The Red Turtle Zootopia - 100 points CINEMATOGRAPHY Arrival La La Land - 100 points Lion Moonlight Silence COSTUME DESIGN Allied Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Florence Foster Jenkins Jackie - 100 points La La Land DIRECTING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 100 points Manchester by the Sea Moonlight DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE) Fire at Sea I Am Not Your Negro Life, Animated O.J.: Made in America - 100 points 13th DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT) Extremis 4.1 Miles Joe’s Violin - 100 points Watani: My Homeland The White Helmets FILM EDITING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water La La Land - 100 points Moonlight FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Land of Mine A Man Called Ove The Salesman Tanna Toni Erdmann - 100 points MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING A Man Called Ove Star Trek Beyond - 100 points Suicide Squad MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) Jackie La La Land - 100 points Lion Moonlight Passengers MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land “Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls “City Of Stars” from La La Land - 100 points “The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana PRODUCTION DESIGN Arrival Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Hail, Caesar! La La Land - 100 points Passengers SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) Blind Vaysha Borrowed Time Pear Cider and Cigarettes Pearl Piper - 100 points SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs - 100 points La Femme et le TGV Silent Nights Sing Timecode SOUND EDITING Arrival Deepwater Horizon Hacksaw Ridge - 100 points La La Land Sully SOUND MIXING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 100 points Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi VISUAL EFFECTS Deepwater Horizon Doctor Strange The Jungle Book - 100 points Kubo and the Two Strings Rogue One: A Star Wars Story WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) Arrival Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight - 100 points WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) Hell or High Water La La Land - 100 points The Lobster Manchester by the Sea 20th Century Women

Angie Han’s Predictions

BEST PICTURE Arrival Fences Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water Hidden Figures La La Land – 100 points Lion Manchester by the Sea Moonlight ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – 60 points

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences – 40 points ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land – 100 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight – 100 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences - 100 points Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Kubo and the Two Strings Moana – 100 points My Life as a Zucchini The Red Turtle Zootopia CINEMATOGRAPHY Arrival - 40 points La La Land - 30 points Lion Moonlight - 30 points Silence COSTUME DESIGN Allied Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 10 points Florence Foster Jenkins Jackie - 80 points La La Land - 10 points DIRECTING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 100 points Manchester by the Sea Moonlight DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE) Fire at Sea I Am Not Your Negro Life, Animated O.J.: Made in America - 100 points 13th DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT) Extremis 4.1 Miles Joe’s Violin Watani: My Homeland The White Helmets - 100 points FILM EDITING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water La La Land - 60 points Moonlight- 40 points FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Land of Mine A Man Called Ove - 40 points The Salesman Tanna Toni Erdmann - 60 points MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING A Man Called Ove - 50 points Star Trek Beyond - 50 points Suicide Squad MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) Jackie La La Land - 60 points Lion Moonlight - 40 points Passengers MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 40 points “Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls “City Of Stars” from La La Land 40 points

“The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana – 20 points PRODUCTION DESIGN Arrival Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 20 points Hail, Caesar! - 20 points La La Land - 60 points Passengers SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) Blind Vaysha Borrowed Time Pear Cider and Cigarettes - 100 points Pearl Piper SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs La Femme et le TGV Silent Nights – 100 points Sing Timecode SOUND EDITING Arrival - 30 points Deepwater Horizon Hacksaw Ridge - 40 points La La Land - 30 points Sully SOUND MIXING Arrival - 30 points Hacksaw Ridge - 40 points La La Land - 30 points Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi VISUAL EFFECTS Deepwater Horizon Doctor Strange The Jungle Book - 100 points Kubo and the Two Strings Rogue One: A Star Wars Story WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) Arrival - 80 points Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight - 20 points WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) Hell or High Water La La Land - 20 points The Lobster Manchester by the Sea - 80 points 20th Century Women

Devindra Hardawar’s Predictions

BEST PICTURE Arrival Fences Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water Hidden Figures La La Land - 50 points Lion Manchester by the Sea Moonlight - 50 points ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – 100 points

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle – 50 points Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land – 50 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 100 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences - 100 points Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Kubo and the Two Strings Moana – 100 points My Life as a Zucchini The Red Turtle Zootopia CINEMATOGRAPHY Arrival La La Land - 50 points Lion Moonlight - 50 points Silence COSTUME DESIGN Allied Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Florence Foster Jenkins Jackie - 50 points La La Land - 50 points DIRECTING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 50 points Manchester by the Sea Moonlight - 50 points DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE) Fire at Sea I Am Not Your Negro - 25 points Life, Animated O.J.: Made in America - 50 points 13th -25 points DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT) Extremis - 50 points 4.1 Miles Joe’s Violin Watani: My Homeland The White Helmets - 50 points FILM EDITING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water La La Land - 50 points Moonlight – 50 points FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Land of Mine A Man Called Ove The Salesman – 100 points Tanna Toni Erdmann MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING A Man Called Ove - 100 points Star Trek Beyond Suicide Squad MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) Jackie La La Land - 50 points Lion Moonlight - 50 points Passengers MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 50 points “Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls “City Of Stars” from La La Land – 50 points

“The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana PRODUCTION DESIGN Arrival Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 50 points Hail, Caesar! - 50 points La La Land Passengers SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) Blind Vaysha - 20 points Borrowed Time - 20 points Pear Cider and Cigarettes - 20 points Pearl - 20 points Piper - 20 points SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs - 20 points La Femme et le TGV - 20 points Silent Nights - 20 points Sing - 20 points Timecode - 20 points SOUND EDITING Arrival - 50 points Deepwater Horizon Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 50 points Sully SOUND MIXING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 50 points Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 50 points 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi VISUAL EFFECTS Deepwater Horizon Doctor Strange The Jungle Book - 50 points Kubo and the Two Strings Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – 50 points WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) Arrival - 50 points Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight - 50 points WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) Hell or High Water La La Land - 50 points The Lobster Manchester by the Sea - 50 points 20th Century Women

Peter Sciretta’s Predictions

BEST PICTURE Arrival – 50 points Fences Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water Hidden Figures La La Land - 50 points Lion Manchester by the Sea Moonlight ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - 50 points

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land - 50 points Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land - 100 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 50 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water - 25 points Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion - 25 points Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea – 100 points

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Kubo and the Two Strings Moana – 50 points My Life as a Zucchini The Red Turtle Zootopia - 50 points CINEMATOGRAPHY Arrival - 50 points La La Land - 50 points Lion Moonlight Silence COSTUME DESIGN Allied Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 50 points Florence Foster Jenkins Jackie - 30 points La La Land – 20 points DIRECTING Arrival - 50 points Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 50 points Manchester by the Sea Moonlight DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE) Fire at Sea I Am Not Your Negro Life, Animated - 50 points O.J.: Made in America - 50 points 13th DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT) Extremis - 100 points 4.1 Miles Joe’s Violin Watani: My Homeland The White Helmets FILM EDITING Arrival - 40 points Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water La La Land - 30 points Moonlight - 30 points FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Land of Mine - 20 points A Man Called Ove - 20 points The Salesman - 20 points Tanna - 20 points Toni Erdmann - 20 points MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING A Man Called Ove Star Trek Beyond - 80 points Suicide Squad - 20 points MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) Jackie La La Land - 100 points Lion Moonlight Passengers MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 20 points

“Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls “City Of Stars” from La La Land - 20 points “The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana - 60 points PRODUCTION DESIGN Arrival Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 20 points Hail, Caesar! La La Land Passengers - 80 points SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) Blind Vaysha Borrowed Time - 80 points Pear Cider and Cigarettes Pearl Piper - 20 points SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs La Femme et le TGV Silent Nights Sing – 20 points Timecode – 80 points SOUND EDITING Arrival - 25 points Deepwater Horizon Hacksaw Ridge La La Land - 75 points Sully SOUND MIXING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – 30 points 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi – 70 points VISUAL EFFECTS Deepwater Horizon Doctor Strange The Jungle Book - 50 points Kubo and the Two Strings Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – 50 points WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) Arrival - 100 points Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) Hell or High Water - 25 points La La Land - 75 points The Lobster Manchester by the Sea 20th Century Women

Christopher’s Stipp’s Predictions

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land – 100 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight – 100 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences – 100 points Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana My Life as a Zucchini The Red Turtle Zootopia – 100 points CINEMATOGRAPHY Arrival – 100 points La La Land Lion Moonlight Silence COSTUME DESIGN Allied Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Florence Foster Jenkins Jackie La La Land – 100 points DIRECTING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land – 100 points Manchester by the Sea Moonlight DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE) Fire at Sea I Am Not Your Negro Life, Animated O.J.: Made in America – 100 points 13th DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT) Extremis 4.1 Miles Joe’s Violin – 100 points Watani: My Homeland The White Helmets FILM EDITING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water La La Land – 100 points Moonlight FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Land of Mine A Man Called Ove The Salesman Tanna Toni Erdmann – 100 points MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING A Man Called Ove Star Trek Beyond Suicide Squad – 100 points MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE) Jackie La La Land – 100 points Lion Moonlight Passengers MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land “Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls “City Of Stars” from La La Land – 100 points “The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana PRODUCTION DESIGN

Arrival Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Hail, Caesar! La La Land – 100 points Passengers SHORT FILM (ANIMATED) Blind Vaysha Borrowed Time Pear Cider and Cigarettes Pearl Piper – 100 points SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs La Femme et le TGV Silent Nights – 100 points Sing Timecode SOUND EDITING Arrival Deepwater Horizon Hacksaw Ridge - 50 points La La Land - 50 points Sully SOUND MIXING Arrival Hacksaw Ridge La La Land – 100 points Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi VISUAL EFFECTS Deepwater Horizon Doctor Strange The Jungle Book Kubo and the Two Strings Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – 100 points WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY) Arrival Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight – 100 points WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY) Hell or High Water La La Land - 50 points The Lobster Manchester by the Sea - 50 points 20th Century Women

The /Film Crew’s 2017 Oscar Predictions

By Jacob Hall/Feb. 24, 2017 9:00 am EST

But first, we have combined everyone’s numbers into one master list that reflects the site’s overall predictions. Let’s take a look at who /Film thinks will walk home with Oscar gold on Sunday.

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle – 80 points

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION) Ennemis Intérieurs - 200 points La Femme et le TGV - 70 points Silent Nights - 210 points Sing - 80 points Timecode - 170 points Once again: you guess is as good as ours.

SOUND MIXING Arrival - 90 points Hacksaw Ridge - 100 points La La Land - 430 points Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 110 points 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi - 70 points

Sound Mixing tends to be trickier to predict than Sound Editing so…La La Land?

So welcome to the second annual /Film Oscar Predictions Contest, where we put our heads together to predict the winners of the biggest movie awards show of the year. Feel free to play along.

You may remember last year’s contest, where Ethan Anderton didn’t just win – he obliterated everyone else. This year, he faces stiff competition: Peter Sciretta, Angie Han, Jacob Hall, David Chen, Jack Giroux, Devindra Hardawar, and Christopher Stipp submitted predictions this time. Some of the crew did careful homework. Others knocked out their predictions in five minutes. The winner gets bragging rights for the next year.

Here’s how it works. Each writer had 100 points per category and could split them up as they saw fit. This means a writer could put all 100 points on a single film in that category or split them up amongst several nominees to hedge their bet. If they have any points on a film that wins its category, they get those points. Simple enough, right? Whoever has the most points when the ceremony is over, wins.

But first, we have combined everyone’s numbers into one master list that reflects the site’s overall predictions. Let’s take a look at who /Film thinks will walk home with Oscar gold on Sunday.

BEST PICTURE

Arrival – 50 points

Fences - 0 points

Hacksaw Ridge - 0 points

Hell or High Water - 0 points

Hidden Figures - 10 points

La La Land – 550 points

Lion - 0 points

Manchester by the Sea - 10 points

Moonlight - 180 points

With a record-tying 14 nominations, La La Land is not only the favorite to win Best Picture, it’s the favorite to win…well, just about everything. However, our staff thinks that if anyone can upset the frontrunners, it’s Moonlight.

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - 620 points

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge - 0 points

Ryan Gosling, La La Land - 120 points

Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic - 0 points

Denzel Washington, Fences - 60 points

Casey Affleck has dominated the awards season so far and our numbers reflect that accordingly. Ryan Gosling may get caught up in the La La Land train and Oscar voters sure love Denzel Washington, but this is Affleck’s to lose.

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Isabelle Huppert, Elle – 80 points

Ruth Negga, Loving - 20 points

Natalie Portman, Jackie - 0 points

Emma Stone, La La Land - 700 points

Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins - 0 points

If one of La La Land’s two leads is going home with a trophy on Sunday, it’s going to be Emma Stone. It’s possible to imagine an Isabelle Huppert upset, but come on.

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 720 points

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water - 35 points

Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea - 0 points

Dev Patel, Lion - 45 points

Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals - 0 points

Out of our predictions, Mahershala Ali scored more points than anyone else. With the exception of the Golden Globes, Ali has scooped up nearly ever substantial supporting actor award over the past few months and Oscar voters will see this as an opportunity to honor Moonlight while giving everything else to La La Land.

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Viola Davis, Fences - 620 points

Naomie Harris, Moonlight - 70 points

Nicole Kidman, Lion - 0 points

Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures – 10 points

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea - 100 points

This category has been Viola Davis’ to lose ever since Fences was first announced. The only thing standing in her way are voters who think that this is “category fraud” and that Davis actually belongs in the lead actress category. But no one can argue with her actual work onscreen.

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Kubo and the Two Strings – 20 points

Moana - 270 points

My Life as a Zucchini - 0 points

The Red Turtle - 0 points

Zootopia - 510 points

The big question is which Disney animated film is going home with a shiny Oscar on Sunday? We’re giving the edge to Zootopia, but we left plenty of room for a Moana upset.

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Arrival - 190 points

La La Land - 510 points

Lion - 0 points

Moonlight - 100 points

Silence - 0 points

In terms of pure beauty and excellence, every nominated film here deserves recognition. And because of that, La La Land will probably win by default because it’s going to win everything else.

COSTUME DESIGN

Allied - 90 points

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 85 points

Florence Foster Jenkins - 15 points

Jackie - 360 points

La La Land – 160 points

What’s this? A category where La La Land isn’t going to win? Oscar voters tend to favorite historical films in this category and the stylish, period-appropriate clothing in Jackie really is a wonder to behold.

DIRECTING

Arrival - 50 points

La La Land - 660 points

Manchester by the Sea - 0 points

Moonlight – 90 points

Get ready for your close-up, Damien Chazelle. Anyone else taking is over La La Land will be the upset of the night.

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)

Fire at Sea - 0 points

I Am Not Your Negro – 45 points

Life, Animated - 50 points

O.J.: Made in America - 650 points

13th – 45 points

Last year, film critics and fans argued over whether or not the seven-hour epic O.J.: Made in America was a film or a television show. Now, it’s /Film’s favorite to win an Academy Award. Whoa.

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)

Extremis - 250 points

4.1 Miles - 30 points

Joe’s Violin - 240 points

Watani: My Homeland - 20 points

The White Helmets - 260 points

Here’s the secret about predicting the short film categories at the Academy Awards: no one knows anything. There’s no hard favorite here and anyone claiming to know for sure is crazy.

FILM EDITING

Arrival - 60 points

La La Land - 570 points

Moonlight - 170 points

Film Editing is a category that often ends up going to Best Picture winners by default. For that reason, this one will probably end up as yet another La La Land win.

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Land of Mine - 45 points

A Man Called Ove - 60 points

The Salesman - 295 points

Tanna - 20 points

Toni Erdmann - 380 points

This is another unpredictable category, but the critically lauded Toni Erdmann squeaked ahead in our predictions. However, the politics surrounding The Salesman (and the fact that it’s also a critical favorite) make it a close runner-up.

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

A Man Called Ove - 233 points

Star Trek Beyond - 413 points

Suicide Squad – 154 points

This is one of the year’s weirdest categories. Because it’s impossible to imagine Suicide Squad winning an Oscar and because A Man Called Ove is one of the least-seen nominees, Star Trek Beyond’s exceptional alien make-up designs should win the day.

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

Jackie - 0 points

La La Land - 690 points

Moonlight - 110 points

Passengers - 0 points

La La Land, being a movie completely driven by music in nearly every scene, has this one locked down. It’s just unfair at this point.

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 200 points

“Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls - 0 points

“City Of Stars” from La La Land - 490 points

“The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story - 0 points

“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana – 110 points

This is another category that should go to La La Land and we give the edge of “City of Stars” over “Audition (The Fools Who Dream).” However, don’t count out “How Far I’ll Go,” because Disney has a strong track record with this category and who can resist the thought of Lin-Manuel Miranda EGOT-ing?

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Arrival - 0 points

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 150 points

Hail, Caesar! - 100 points

La La Land - 450 points

Passengers - 80 points

Are you getting tired of La La Land yet? Here’s another one for the trophy pile.

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

Blind Vaysha - 40 points

Borrowed Time - 120 points

Pear Cider and Cigarettes - 140 points

Pearl - 40 points

Piper - 460 points

Pixar may have been snubbed in the Best Animated Feature category, but their adorable Piper is the obvious frontrunner here.

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

Ennemis Intérieurs - 200 points

La Femme et le TGV - 70 points

Silent Nights - 210 points

Sing - 80 points

Timecode - 170 points

Once again: you guess is as good as ours.

SOUND EDITING

Arrival - 135 points

Deepwater Horizon - 40 points

Hacksaw Ridge - 320 points

La La Land - 275 points

Sully - 0 points

This could be another La La Land victory, but war movies have a strong track record in this category. And hey, would you look at that: Hacksaw Ridge is here and it’s not going to win anything else.

SOUND MIXING

Arrival - 90 points

Hacksaw Ridge - 100 points

La La Land - 430 points

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 110 points

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi - 70 points

Sound Mixing tends to be trickier to predict than Sound Editing so…La La Land?

VISUAL EFFECTS

Deepwater Horizon - 0 points

Doctor Strange - 80 points

The Jungle Book - 500 points

Kubo and the Two Strings - 0 points

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 220 points

This is an impressive line-up, but expect the photo-realistic animals and environments of The Jungle Book to win over the most voters.

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

Arrival - 250 points

Moonlight - 540 points

Moonlight’s got to win something else, right? Since this is the rare category where it’s not going head-to-head with La La Land, this could be another moment for it to shine.

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

Hell or High Water - 25 points

La La Land - 365 points

The Lobster - 20 points

Manchester by the Sea - 350 points

20th Century Women – 10 points

There are two scenarios here. Either the La La Land wave is completely unstoppable and it takes this one as well…or it breaks in a few key places. If it’s the latter, expect this one to go to Manchester by the Sea.

The 89th Annual Academy Awards will air this Sunday. We’ll be covering the big show live, but come back Monday morning to see which /Film writer has won bragging rights for the next 12 months. You can find all of our individual ballots on the next page.

Ethan Anderton’s Predictions

Arrival

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures – 10 points

La La Land - 70 points

Lion

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight – 20 points

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - 80 points

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge

Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Denzel Washington, Fences – 20 points

Isabelle Huppert, Elle – 30 points

Ruth Negga, Loving

Natalie Portman, Jackie

Emma Stone, La La Land – 70 points

Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 70 points

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water – 10 points

Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea

Dev Patel, Lion - 20 points

Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Viola Davis, Fences – 100 points

Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Nicole Kidman, Lion

Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Moana

My Life as a Zucchini

The Red Turtle

Zootopia – 80 points

Arrival

La La Land – 100 points

Lion

Moonlight

Silence

Allied

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Florence Foster Jenkins

Jackie - 50 points

La La Land – 50 points

Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land - 80 points

Manchester by the Sea

Fire at Sea

I Am Not Your Negro

Life, Animated

O.J.: Made in America - 80 points

13th – 20 points

Extremis – 80 points

4.1 Miles

Joe’s Violin - 20 points

Watani: My Homeland

The White Helmets

Hell or High Water

La La Land - 100 points

Moonlight

Land of Mine

A Man Called Ove

The Salesman - 50 points

Tanna

Toni Erdmann - 50 points

Star Trek Beyond - 100 points

Suicide Squad

Jackie

Passengers

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 20 points

“Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls

“City Of Stars” from La La Land - 60 points

“The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story

“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana - 20 points

Hail, Caesar!

Blind Vaysha

Borrowed Time

Pear Cider and Cigarettes

Pearl

Piper – 100 points

Ennemis Intérieurs - 80 points

La Femme et le TGV

Silent Nights

Sing

Timecode – 20 points

Deepwater Horizon

Hacksaw Ridge - 80 points

La La Land - 20 points

Sully

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Doctor Strange

The Jungle Book - 100 points

Kubo and the Two Strings

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Arrival - 20 points

Fences

Hidden Figures

Moonlight - 80 points

La La Land - 50 points

The Lobster

Manchester by the Sea - 50 points

20th Century Women

David Chen’s Predictions

20th Century Women - 10 points

Hidden Figures

Moonlight – 50 points

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – 80 points

Ryan Gosling, La La Land - 20 points

Denzel Washington, Fences

Isabelle Huppert, Elle

Emma Stone, La La Land - 80 points

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 100 points

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water

Dev Patel, Lion

Viola Davis, Fences - 20 points

Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures - 10 points

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana – 20 points

Zootopia – 80 points

Moonlight - 20 points

Allied - 10 points

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 25 points

La La Land

I Am Not Your Negro - 20 points

O.J.: Made in America - 70 points

13th – 10 points

Extremis

4.1 Miles – 10 points

Joe’s Violin

The White Helmets – 90 points

La La Land - 80 points

Moonlight - 20 points

The Salesman – 100 points

Toni Erdmann

A Man Called Ove - 33 points

Star Trek Beyond - 33 points

Suicide Squad – 34 points

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 70 points

“City Of Stars” from La La Land – 20 points

“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana – 10 points

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 10 points

La La Land - 90 points

Ennemis Intérieurs

La Femme et le TGV - 30 points

Silent Nights - 20 points

Sing – 20 points

Timecode – 30 points

Deepwater Horizon - 20 points

Hacksaw Ridge - 30 points

Hacksaw Ridge - 40 points

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 10 points

The Jungle Book

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 20 points

La La Land – 20 points

20th Century Women - 10 points

Jack Giroux’s Predictions

La La Land - 30 points

Moonlight - 60 points

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - 50 points

Ryan Gosling, La La Land - 50 points

Emma Stone, La La Land - 100 points

Viola Davis, Fences - 100 points

Zootopia - 100 points

La La Land - 100 points

Allied - 80 points

O.J.: Made in America - 100 points

13th

Extremis - 20 points

4.1 Miles - 20 points

The White Helmets - 20 points

Moonlight -30 points

Land of Mine - 25 points

The Salesman - 25 points

Toni Erdmann – 50 points

A Man Called Ove - 50 points

Star Trek Beyond - 50 points

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land

“City Of Stars” from La La Land - 100 points

“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 70 points

Hail, Caesar! - 30 points

La La Land

Blind Vaysha - 20 points

Borrowed Time - 20 points

Pear Cider and Cigarettes - 20 points

Pearl - 20 points

Piper - 20 points

Ennemis Intérieurs - 20 points

La Femme et le TGV - 20 points

Silent Nights - 20 points

Sing - 20 points

Timecode - 20 points

Hacksaw Ridge - 20 points

Moonlight - 100 points

Manchester by the Sea - 100 points

Jacob Hall’s Predictions

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea - 100 points

Jackie - 100 points

Joe’s Violin - 100 points

The Salesman

Toni Erdmann - 100 points

Piper - 100 points

Ennemis Intérieurs - 100 points

Timecode

Angie Han’s Predictions

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – 60 points

Denzel Washington, Fences – 40 points

Emma Stone, La La Land – 100 points

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight – 100 points

Moana – 100 points

Zootopia

Arrival - 40 points

Moonlight - 30 points

Jackie - 80 points

La La Land - 10 points

The White Helmets - 100 points

La La Land - 60 points

Moonlight- 40 points

A Man Called Ove - 40 points

Toni Erdmann - 60 points

Moonlight - 40 points

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 40 points

“City Of Stars” from La La Land 40 points

“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana – 20 points

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 20 points

Hail, Caesar! - 20 points

Pear Cider and Cigarettes - 100 points

Piper

Silent Nights – 100 points

Arrival - 30 points

Arrival - 80 points

Manchester by the Sea - 80 points

Devindra Hardawar’s Predictions

Moonlight - 50 points

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – 100 points

Isabelle Huppert, Elle – 50 points

Emma Stone, La La Land – 50 points

I Am Not Your Negro - 25 points

O.J.: Made in America - 50 points

13th -25 points

Extremis - 50 points

The White Helmets - 50 points

The Salesman – 100 points

A Man Called Ove - 100 points

Star Trek Beyond

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land - 50 points

“City Of Stars” from La La Land – 50 points

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - 50 points

Hail, Caesar! - 50 points

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 50 points

The Jungle Book - 50 points

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – 50 points

Peter Sciretta’s Predictions

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land - 50 points Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land - 100 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 50 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water - 25 points Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion - 25 points Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea – 100 points

Arrival – 50 points

Emma Stone, La La Land - 100 points

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight - 50 points

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water - 25 points

Dev Patel, Lion - 25 points

Viola Davis, Fences

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea – 100 points

Moana – 50 points

Zootopia - 50 points

Jackie - 30 points

La La Land – 20 points

Extremis - 100 points

Land of Mine - 20 points

A Man Called Ove - 20 points

The Salesman - 20 points

Toni Erdmann - 20 points

Star Trek Beyond - 80 points

Suicide Squad - 20 points

“City Of Stars” from La La Land - 20 points

“How Far I’ll Go” from Moana - 60 points

Borrowed Time - 80 points

Sing – 20 points

Timecode – 80 points

Arrival - 25 points

La La Land - 75 points

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – 30 points

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi – 70 points

Arrival - 100 points

Christopher’s Stipp’s Predictions

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Isabelle Huppert, Elle Ruth Negga, Loving Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land – 100 points Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali, Moonlight – 100 points Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Dev Patel, Lion Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Viola Davis, Fences – 100 points Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Kubo and the Two Strings

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – 100 points

Emma Stone, La La Land – 100 points

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight – 100 points

Viola Davis, Fences – 100 points

Zootopia – 100 points

Arrival – 100 points

La La Land – 100 points

O.J.: Made in America – 100 points

Joe’s Violin – 100 points

Toni Erdmann – 100 points

Suicide Squad – 100 points

“City Of Stars” from La La Land – 100 points

Piper – 100 points

Silent Nights – 100 points

Hacksaw Ridge - 50 points

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – 100 points

Moonlight – 100 points

Ethan Anderton’s Predictions#

David Chen’s Predictions#

Jack Giroux’s Predictions#

Jacob Hall’s Predictions#

Angie Han’s Predictions#

Devindra Hardawar’s Predictions#

Peter Sciretta’s Predictions#

Christopher’s Stipp’s Predictions#

Ethan Anderton’s Predictions

David Chen’s Predictions

Jack Giroux’s Predictions

Jacob Hall’s Predictions

Angie Han’s Predictions

Devindra Hardawar’s Predictions

Peter Sciretta’s Predictions

Christopher’s Stipp’s Predictions